Kyrsten Sinema is declaring that she will be victorious in the U.S. Senate race, after votes counted on Sunday put her ahead by roughly 32,000 votes with only about 220,000 left to count, the first time since Dennis DeConcini won re-election in 1988 that Arizona will send a Democrat to the U.S. Senate.
“With the latest ballot count, Kyrsten’s lead is insurmountable,” said Andrew Piatt, Sinema’s campaign manager. Sinema’s lead is now one-and-a-half percentage points.
BREAKING @kyrstensinema campaign manager declares her lead ‘is insurmountable… Kyrsten will be declared the next U.S. Senator from Arizona.’ Race has not yet been called by any media org. #AZSEN #12News pic.twitter.com/FqFhmDpPFp
— BrahmResnik (@brahmresnik) November 12, 2018
However, her Republican opponent, Martha McSally, has not conceded.
Approximately 162,000 of the ballots left to be counted are in Maricopa County, which is home to about 60 percent of Arizona voters.
Arizona outstanding ballot report 11/11 6:33PM
La Paz: 576
State of Arizona: 219.8k
— The AZ Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 12, 2018
Sinema has won nearly 51 percent of the vote in Maricopa County, and leads McSally by more than 46,000 votes. Sinema’s campaign estimated that McSally would need to win more than 60 percent of those outstanding votes to win.
Democrats in other statewide races also celebrated the Sunday vote counts.
Kathy Hoffman declared victory in the race for superintendent of public instruction after her lead over Frank Riggs, the Republican, expanded to nearly 47,000 votes.
This victory is not just about me or my campaign. It’s about the thousands of teachers and educators who lead our public schools every day.
We did this together. We did this because the future of Arizona starts in our public schools.
Words cannot express my gratitude. pic.twitter.com/6cOsI9g02l
— Kathy Hoffman for Superintendent (@kathyhoffman_az) November 12, 2018
“This victory is not just about me or my campaign. It’s about the thousands of teachers and educators who lead our public schools every day,” Hoffman wrote on Twitter after the latest votes were updated.
In the race for Corporation Commission, Democrat Sandra Kennedy expanded her lead, though the contest remains tight: Kennedy leads Republicans Justin Olson and Rodney Glassman in the battle for two seats, and the trio is separated by less than 10,000 votes.
Meanwhile, the race for Secretary of State, Democrat Katie Hobbs has cut the lead of Republican Steve Gaynor from 44,000 on Wednesday to 424 votes on Sunday. For a brief period on Sunday, after ballots from Maricopa County that were counted today were added to the total, Hobbs led by 150 votes. Later tallies from Pinal and Yavapai counties swung the race in Gaynor’s favor.
Arizona law requires a recount in statewide races if the candidates are separated by 200 or fewer votes when all ballots are counted.
*Updated to clarify that the Sinema campaign has not said it has won the race, but that it believes it will win when the remainder of the votes are counted.